Products

Products using data from Virginia Reservoirs LTREB since 2018

Publications: Foundational Knowledge

Carey, C.C. , J.P. Doubek, R.P. McClure, and P.C. Hanson. 2018. Oxygen dynamics control the burial of organic carbon in a eutrophic reservoir. Limnology and Oceanography Letters 3: 293-301. https://doi.org/10.1002/lol2.10057

Carey, C.C., R.P. McClure, J.P. Doubek, M.E. Lofton, N.K. Ward, D.T. Scott. 2018. Chaoborus spp. Transport CH4 from the Sediments to the Surface Waters of a Eutrophic Reservoir, But Their Contribution to Water Column CH4 Concentrations and Diffusive Efflux Is Minor. Environmental Science and Technology 52: 1165–1173 https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.7b04384

Carey, C.C., P.C. Hanson, R.Q. Thomas, A.B. Gerling, A.G. Hounshell, A.S. Lewis, M.E. Lofton, R.P. McClure, H.L. Wander, W.M. Woelmer, B.R. Niederlehner, and M.E. Schreiber. 2022. Anoxia decreases the magnitude of the carbon, nitrogen, and phosphorus sink in freshwaters. Global Change Biology. 28: 4861-4881. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.16228

Chen, S., J.C. Little, C.C. Carey, J.P. McClure, M.E. Lofton, and C. Lei. 2018. Three‐Dimensional Effects of Artificial Mixing in a Shallow Drinking‐Water Reservoir. Water Resources Research 54: 425-441 < https://doi.org/10.1002/2017WR021127>.

Chen,S, C.C. Carey, J.C. Little, M.E. Lofton, R.P. McClure, and C. Lei. 2018. Effectiveness of a bubble-plume mixing system for managing phytoplankton in lakes and reservoirs. Ecological Engineering 113: 43-51. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoleng.2018.01.002

Doubek, J.P., K.L. Campbell, K.M. Doubek, K.D. Hamre, M.E. Lofton, R.P. McClure, N.K. Ward, and C.C. Carey. 2018. The effects of hypolimnetic anoxia on the diel vertical migration of freshwater crustacean zooplankton. Ecosphere 9:e02332. https://doi.org/10.1002/ecs2.2332

Doubek, J.P., K.L. Campbell, M.E. Lofton, R.P. McClure, and C.C. Carey. 2019 Hypolimnetic hypoxia increases the biomass and compositional variability of crustacean zooplankton communities. Water. 11(10):2179. https://doi.org/10.3390/w11102179

Hammond, N.W., F. Birgand, C.C. Carey, B.J. Bookout, A. Breef-Pilz, and M.E. Schreiber. 2023. High-frequency sensor data capture short-term variability in Fe and Mn cycling due to hypolimnetic oxygenation and seasonal dynamics in a drinking water reservoir. Water Research. 240: 120084. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.watres.2023.120084

Hamre, K.D., M.E. Lofton, R.P. McClure, Z.W. Munger, J.P. Doubek, A.B. Gerling, M.E. Schreiber, and C.C. Carey. 2018. In situ fluorometry reveals a persistent, perennial hypolimnetic cyanobacterial bloom in a seasonally anoxic reservoir. Freshwater Science 37: 483-495 https://doi.org/10.1086/699327

Hounshell, A.G., B.M. D’Acunha, A. Breef-Pilz, M.S. Johnson, R.Q. Thomas, and C.C. Carey. 2023. Eddy covariance data reveal that a small freshwater reservoir emits a substantial amount of carbon dioxide and methane. Journal of Geophysical Research-Biogeosciences. 128: e2022JG007091. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JG007091

Hounshell, A.G., R.P. McClure, M.E. Lofton, and C.C. Carey. 2021. Whole-ecosystem oxygenation experiments reveal substantially greater hypolimnetic methane concentrations and global warming potential in reservoirs during anoxia. Limnology and Oceanography-Letters. 6: 33-42. https://doi.org/10.1002/lol2.10173

Howard, D.W., A.G. Hounshell, M.E. Lofton, W.M. Woelmer, P.C. Hanson, and C.C. Carey. 2021. Variability in fluorescent dissolved organic matter concentrations across diel to seasonal time scales is driven by water temperature and meteorology in a eutrophic reservoir. Aquatic Sciences. 83: 30. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00027-021-00784-w

Krueger, K.M., C.E. Vavrus, M.E. Lofton, R.P. McClure, P. Gantzer, C.C. Carey, and M.E. Schreiber. 2020. Iron and manganese fluxes across the sediment-water interface in a drinking water reservoir. Water Research. 182: 116003. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.watres.2020.116003

Lewis, A.S.L., M.E. Schreiber, B.R. Niederlehner, A. Das, N.W. Hammond, M.E. Lofton, H.L. Wander, and C.C. Carey. 2023. Effects of hypoxia on coupled carbon and iron cycling differ between weekly and multiannual timescales in two freshwater reservoirs. Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences. 128: e2022JG007071. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JG007071

Lewis, A.S.L , A. Breef-Pilz, D. Howard, M.E. Lofton, F. Olsson, H.L. Wander, C.E. Wood, M. Schreiber, C.C. Carey. Reservoir drawdown highlights the emergent effects of water level change on reservoir physics, chemistry, and biology. ESS Open Archive. https://doi.org/10.22541/essoar.169592581.18728999/v1

Lofton, M.E., D.W. Howard, R.P. McClure, H.L. Wander, W.M. Woelmer, A.G. Hounshell, A.S. Lewis, and C.C. Carey. 2022. Experimental thermocline deepening alters vertical distribution and community structure of phytoplankton in a four-year whole-reservoir manipulation. Freshwater Biology. 67: 1903-1924. https://doi.org/10.1111/fwb.13983

Lofton, M.E., R.P. McClure, S. Chen, J.C. Little, and C.C. Carey. 2019. Whole-ecosystem experiments reveal varying responses of phytoplankton functional groups to epilimnetic mixing in a eutrophic reservoir. Water. 11(2):222. https://doi.org/10.3390/w11020222

McClure, R.P., K.D. Hamre, B.R. Niederlehner, Z.W. Munger, S. Chen, M.E. Lofton, M.E. Schreiber, and C.C. Carey. 2018. Metalimnetic oxygen minimum zones decouple CH4 and CO2 fluxes from seasonal turnover. Science of the Total Environment. 636:610-620. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.04.255

McClure, R.P., M.E. Schreiber, M.E. Lofton, S. Chen, K.M. Krueger, and C.C. Carey. 2021. Ecosystem-scale oxygen manipulations alter terminal electron acceptor pathways in a eutrophic reservoir. Ecosystems. 24: 1281–1298. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10021-020-00582-9

McClure, R.P., M.E. Lofton, S. Chen, J.C. Little, and C.C. Carey. 2020. The magnitude and drivers of methane ebullition and diffusion vary on a longitudinal gradient in a small freshwater reservoir. Journal of Geophysical Research-Biogeosciences. 125(3): e2019JG005205 https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JG005205

Munger, Z.W., C.C. Carey, A.B. Gerling, J.P. Doubek, K.D. Hamre, R.P. McClure, M.E. Schreiber. 2019. Oxygenation and hydrologic controls on iron and manganese mass budgets in a drinking water reservoir. Lake and Reservoir Management. 35:277-291. https://doi.org/10.1080/10402381.2018.1545811

Woelmer, W.M., A.G. Hounshell, M.E. Lofton, H.L. Wander, A.S.L. Lewis, D. Scott, and C.C. Carey. 2023. The importance of time and space in biogeochemical heterogeneity and processing along the reservoir ecosystem continuum. Aquatic Sciences. 85: 66. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00027-023-00959-7

Publications: Forecasting and modeling

Carey, C.C., W.M. Woelmer, M.E. Lofton, R.J. Figueiredo, B.J. Bookout, R.S. Corrigan, V. Daneshmand, A.G. Hounshell, D.W. Howard, A.S.L. Lewis, R.P. McClure, H.L. Wander, N.K. Ward, and R.Q. Thomas. 2022. Advancing lake and reservoir water quality management with near-term, iterative ecological forecasting. Inland Waters. 12: 107-120. https://doi.org/10.1080/20442041.2020.1816421

Daneshmand, V., A. Breef-Pilz, C.C. Carey, Y. Jin, Y.-J. Ku, K. Subratie, R.Q. Thomas, and R. J. Figueiredo. 2021. Edge-to-cloud virtualized cyberinfrastructure for near real-time water quality forecasting in lakes and reservoirs. 17th IEEE eScience Conference. Innsbruck, Austria. https://doi.org/10.1109/eScience51609.2021.00024

Daw, A., R.Q. Thomas, C.C. Carey, J.S. Read, A.P. Appling, and A. Karpatne. 2020. Physics-guided architecture (PGA) of neural networks for quantifying uncertainty in lake temperature modeling. Proceedings of the 2020 SIAM International Conference on Data Mining. 532-540. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9781611976236.60

Kurucz, K., C.C. Carey, P. Huang, E.R. De Sousa, J. White, M.R. Hipsey. Using System-Inspired Metrics to Improve Water Quality Prediction in Stratified Lakes. ESS Open Archive. https://doi.org/10.22541/essoar.170224508.83776495/v1

Man, X, C. Lei, C.C. Carey, and J.C. Little. 2021. Relative performance of 1-D versus 3-D hydrodynamic, water-quality models for predicting water temperature and oxygen in a shallow, eutrophic, managed reservoir. Water. 13(1), 88. https://doi.org/10.3390/w13010088

McClure, R.P., R.Q. Thomas, M.E. Lofton, W.M. Woelmer, and C.C. Carey. 2021. Iterative forecasting improves near-term predictions of methane ebullition rates. Frontiers in Environmental Science. 9: 756603. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2021.756603

Olsson, F, T.N. Moore, C.C. Carey, A. Breef-Pilz, and R.Q. Thomas. A multi-model ensemble of baseline and process-based models improves the predictive skill of near-term lake forecasts. Accepted at Water Resources Research https://doi.org/10.22541/essoar.169049097.75300247/v1

Thomas, R.Q, R.J. Figueiredo, V. Daneshmand, B.J. Bookout, L. Puckett, and C.C. Carey. 2020. A near-term iterative forecasting system successfully predicts reservoir hydrodynamics and partitions uncertainty. Water Resources Research. 56, e2019WR026138. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019WR026138

Wander, H.L., R.Q Thomas, T.N. Moore, M.E. Lofton, A. Breef-Pilz, C.C. Carey. Data assimilation experiments inform monitoring needs for near-term ecological forecasts in a eutrophic reservoir. Accepted at Ecosphere. https://doi.org/10.22541/essoar.168500255.59108131/v1

Woelmer, W.W., R.Q. Thomas, M.E. Lofton, R.P. McClure, and C.C. Carey. 2022. Near-term phytoplankton forecasts reveal the effects of model time step and forecast horizon on predictability. Ecological Applications. 32: e2642. https://doi.org/10.1002/eap.2642

Publications: Synthesis

Carey, C.C. Causes and consequences of changing oxygen in lakes. In press at Inland Waters. https://doi.org/10.1080/20442041.2023.2239110

Figary, S.E. and 135 co-authors (ZIG participants), including C.C. Carey, H.L. Wander, and J.P. Doubek. 2022. Building a worldwide freshwater zooplankton dataset to synthesize patterns of zooplankton community structure and change. L&O Bulletin. 31(4): 132-133. https://doi.org/10.1002/lob.10515

Leach, T.H.. B.E. Beisner, C.C. Carey, P. Pernica, K.C. Rose, Y. Huot, J.A. Brentrup, I. Domaizon, H‐P. Grossart, B.W. Ibelings, S. Jacquet, P.T. Kelly, J.A. Rusak, J.D. Stockwell, D. Straile, and P. Verburg. 2018. Patterns and drivers of deep chlorophyll maxima structure in 100 lakes: The relative importance of light and thermal stratification. Limnology and Oceanography 63: 628-646 https://doi.org/10.1002/lno.10656

Marcé, R., L. Gómez-Gener, and C.C. Carey. 2024. Chapter 11 - Oxygen. In Eds. I.D. Jones and J.P. Smol, Wetzel’s Limnology (Fourth Edition). Pages 237-274. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-822701-5.00011-2

Weyhenmeyer, G.A., U. Obertegger, H. Rudebeck, E. Jakobsson, J. Jansen, G. Zdorovennova, S. Bansal, B.D. Block, C.C. Carey, J.P. Doubek, H. Dugan, O. Erina, I. Fedorova, J.M. Fischer, L. Grinberga, H.-P. Grossart, K. Kangur, L.B. Knoll, A. Laas, F. Lepori, J. Meier, N. Palshin, M. Peternell, M. Pulkkanen, J.A. Rusak, S. Sharma, D. Wain, and R. Zdorovennov. 2022. Towards critical white ice conditions in lakes under global warming. Nature Communications. 13: 4974. https://doi.org/0.1038/s41467-022-32633-1

Other products

Falling Creek Reservoir is used as a test-bed and evaluation site for the development of the General Lake Model. https://github.com/AquaticEcoDynamics/glm-aed/tree/main/glm-examples